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Red72
38653.1
401314.6
402415.9
Blue116
672235.1
875316.5
80142.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719302040608012014016072116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+32
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
35Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points12
72Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#9
53.10.8
41.642.5
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
red by 10.3
801
#8
42.83.1
32.835.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Second
4024
#13
15.91.2
9.010.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
blue by 19.2
6722
#21
35.13.1
32.035.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
Third
4013
#45
14.60.7
10.311.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 1.9
8753
#32
16.53.1
11.114.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed