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Red82
80142.8
743118.9
1001714.9
Blue72
881728.3
411828.5
740322.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72780501001508272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
55Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points12
82Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#8
42.81.2
35.937.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
red by 14.2
4118
#24
28.51.0
28.227.1
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Second
7431
#33
18.91.2
17.218.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 9.4
8817
#25
28.31.0
15.814.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
Third
14.91.2
12.113.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 7.9
7403
#44
22.71.0
20.119.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed