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Red39
401314.6
875316.5
632211.6
Blue49
409112.4
402415.9
2129.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4060020801001201403949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
22Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
39Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8753
#32
16.50.3
14.214.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 13.4
21
#18
29.90.2
25.125.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Second
4013
#45
14.60.2
11.011.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 1.3
4024
#13
15.90.2
10.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
6322
#43
11.60.2
9.19.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 0.8
4091
#50
12.40.2
12.012.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned