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Red72
1032322.9
1065016.6
362716.0
Blue116
18065.5
1040213.6
17448.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658105010015020025072116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+20
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
44Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
2Foul points26
72Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.3
19.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
blue by 42.6
180
#1
65.51.6
52.253.8
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
Second
16.60.5
17.718.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 3.0
13.61.6
5.36.9
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Third
3627
#31
16.00.3
10.010.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 7.9
1744
#46
8.11.6
6.37.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed