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Red118
547247.4
647322.2
159241.4
Blue110
967028.3
884145.4
456216.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11679204060100140160180118110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
18Processor points12
24Net points32
42Algae points44
92Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
118Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.3
42.342.5
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
red by 2.1
8841
#14
45.42.7
33.736.4
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
Second
1592
#10
41.40.4
32.533.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
red by 13.1
9670
#28
28.32.7
19.021.7
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
Third
6473
#19
22.20.3
17.317.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 6.1
4562
#42
16.12.7
12.214.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed