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Red142
17962.8
215219.1
5952.2
Blue63
877515.8
581618.5
672235.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126745010015020014263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+31Teleop
+55Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
69Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
24Foul points0
142Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#4
62.80.4
53.453.8
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
red by 27.7
6722
#21
35.11.4
35.133.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
Second
59
#5
52.20.6
43.243.8
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
red by 33.8
5816
#39
18.51.4
18.316.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Third
2152
#47
19.10.6
10.411.0
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 3.3
8775
#35
15.81.4
17.015.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed