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Red152
190256.4
881728.3
832431.6
Blue49
514522.0
409112.4
1033510.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11248010015015249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+99Teleop
+101Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
28Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +80
24Coral scored#7
86Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
116Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#3
10L3#2
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
2Foul points0
152Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.42.9
48.551.4
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 34.4
5145
#23
22.01.5
20.919.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Second
8324
#15
31.62.9
26.929.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 19.2
4091
#50
12.41.5
12.210.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Third
8817
#25
28.34.8
14.819.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
red by 17.5
10.81.5
12.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed