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Red147
18065.5
547247.4
581618.5
Blue125
8645.1
152318.0
80142.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13196050150147125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#15
73Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
97Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
147Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
65.52.4
53.856.2
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 20.4
86
#16
45.12.1
41.443.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
47.41.5
42.544.0
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
red by 4.7
801
#8
42.83.6
37.140.7
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Third
5816
#39
18.52.4
16.919.3
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 0.4
1523
#27
18.03.6
9.312.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned