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Red120
5952.2
903018.7
362716.0
Blue19
930010.3
1021111.2
456216.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8941020608010012014012019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+85Teleop
+95Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +72
17Coral scored#3
62Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
82Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
6Foul points0
120Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
52.24.4
43.848.2
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
red by 36.1
4562
#42
16.12.1
14.912.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Second
9030
#17
18.74.4
14.218.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 7.5
11.22.1
9.47.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
3627
#31
16.02.6
10.313.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 5.8
9300
#34
10.31.3
8.87.5
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed