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Red115
647322.2
87919.9
38653.1
Blue60
1001714.9
2129.9
215219.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8551020406010012014016011560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
72Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
115Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#9
53.12.4
44.246.6
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
red by 23.1
21
#18
29.91.2
25.326.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Second
6473
#19
22.22.4
17.620.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 3.1
2152
#47
19.11.2
11.012.1
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
Third
8791
#20
9.94.0
11.315.3
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 5.0
14.91.2
13.314.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned