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Red148
7929.6
23353.7
159241.4
Blue111
1065016.6
877515.8
17962.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261016080120140160180148111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
+33Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#13
72Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
100Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#7
3L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points2
148Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#2
53.71.8
49.551.3
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
blue by 9.0
179
#4
62.80.7
53.854.5
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
Second
1592
#10
41.43.0
33.036.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
red by 24.8
16.61.2
18.219.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
79
#7
29.61.8
20.922.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
red by 13.8
8775
#35
15.81.2
15.616.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed