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Red73
402415.9
805715.4
411828.5
Blue128
547247.4
881728.3
4319.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6183204010012014073128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+61
Endgame+49
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +56
9Coral scored#20
33Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
47Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points6
73Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#24
28.50.1
28.528.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
blue by 18.9
47.42.1
44.046.1
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
Second
4024
#13
15.90.1
12.112.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
blue by 12.4
8817
#25
28.33.5
19.623.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
Third
8057
#37
15.40.1
12.712.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 5.6
431
#49
9.83.5
6.510.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed