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Red106
884145.4
903018.7
1032322.9
Blue97
409112.4
740322.7
8645.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9995608012014010697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
78Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
106Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.40.6
38.739.3
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
red by 0.3
86
#16
45.10.6
43.544.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
22.90.4
19.019.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
red by 0.2
7403
#44
22.71.0
18.619.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Third
9030
#17
18.70.6
18.619.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 6.4
4091
#50
12.41.0
10.611.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned