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Red31
152318.0
456216.1
87919.9
Blue57
632211.6
80142.8
1033510.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477702040601001203157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
14Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
8Foul points0
31Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#27
18.02.9
12.810.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
blue by 24.7
801
#8
42.81.6
40.739.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Second
4562
#42
16.12.9
12.89.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 4.5
6322
#43
11.61.0
10.79.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
8791
#20
9.92.9
15.312.4
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 0.9
10.81.6
11.09.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed