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Red144
155718.2
190256.4
5952.2
Blue59
743118.9
362716.0
7929.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14960010020025014459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +75
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
112Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
144Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.41.3
51.452.8
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 26.8
79
#7
29.60.2
22.722.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
Second
59
#5
52.22.2
48.250.4
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
red by 33.3
7431
#33
18.90.3
20.820.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Third
1557
#22
18.22.2
18.320.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 2.1
3627
#31
16.00.2
13.012.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned