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Red144
2129.9
38653.1
967028.3
Blue163
18065.5
23353.7
393241.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11017050100150200250144163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +3
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
109Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#7
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
144Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#9
53.11.7
46.648.3
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
blue by 12.5
180
#1
65.50.7
56.256.9
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
Second
21
#18
29.92.8
26.529.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
blue by 23.8
233
#2
53.70.4
51.351.7
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
Third
9670
#28
28.32.8
24.527.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
blue by 13.1
3932
#12
41.40.7
31.532.2
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned