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Red32
877515.8
930010.3
215219.1
Blue43
279715.5
74417.1
875316.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44552060801003243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
20Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
32Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2152
#47
19.10.5
12.111.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 2.0
744
#29
17.10.7
17.416.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Second
8775
#35
15.80.5
16.716.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
blue by 0.7
8753
#32
16.51.1
14.012.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
9300
#34
10.30.3
7.57.2
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 5.2
2797
#30
15.51.1
15.414.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed