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Red125
514522.0
362716.0
8645.1
Blue134
875316.5
159241.4
38653.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512650100150200125134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
88Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
125Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#16
45.12.2
41.944.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
blue by 7.9
386
#9
53.11.0
49.450.4
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
Second
5145
#23
22.03.2
18.521.7
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
blue by 19.4
1592
#10
41.41.5
37.038.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
Third
3627
#31
16.02.2
13.615.8
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 0.5
8753
#32
16.51.5
16.818.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned