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Red105
2129.9
5952.2
4319.8
Blue114
80142.8
967028.3
1040213.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149550150200105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
69Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points6
105Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
52.20.5
51.651.1
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
red by 9.5
801
#8
42.81.3
39.240.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Second
21
#18
29.90.5
29.528.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
red by 1.6
9670
#28
28.31.3
26.127.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
Third
431
#49
9.80.5
8.47.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
blue by 3.8
13.61.3
11.412.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed