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Red65
832431.6
740322.7
930010.3
Blue145
584229.0
456216.1
17962.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611115010015065145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
0Processor points12
12Net points24
12Algae points36
45Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points26
65Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#15
31.60.5
28.328.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
blue by 31.2
179
#4
62.81.6
57.559.0
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
Second
7403
#44
22.70.7
21.121.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 6.3
5842
#11
29.01.6
26.227.7
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
Third
9300
#34
10.30.5
8.38.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 5.8
4562
#42
16.12.3
11.814.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned