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Red29
1033510.8
1065016.6
1001714.9
Blue86
805715.4
877515.8
884145.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549302040801201401602986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points29
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
15Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
29Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.5
18.216.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 28.7
8841
#14
45.40.8
40.841.6
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
Second
14.91.5
16.414.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 1.0
8775
#35
15.80.8
14.615.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Third
10.81.5
10.38.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 4.6
8057
#37
15.40.8
16.617.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned