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Red76
155718.2
903018.7
547247.4
Blue75
632211.6
647322.2
215219.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1064901507675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
50Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
76Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.5
46.845.3
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
red by 25.3
6473
#19
22.21.1
21.422.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
9030
#17
18.72.2
19.016.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 0.4
2152
#47
19.11.5
13.214.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
Third
1557
#22
18.22.2
18.916.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 6.6
6322
#43
11.61.1
10.511.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed