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Red54
362716.0
279715.5
1021111.2
Blue90
2129.9
672235.1
152318.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479802060801201401605490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
43Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
54Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3627
#31
16.00.3
15.816.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 19.0
6722
#21
35.10.6
32.032.7
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
Second
2797
#30
15.50.4
15.215.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 14.4
21
#18
29.90.6
28.929.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
11.20.4
10.811.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 6.8
1523
#27
18.00.6
13.113.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned