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Red74
8645.1
743118.9
875316.5
Blue113
17448.1
17962.8
967028.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94109608010012014074113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
59Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
74Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#16
45.11.3
44.142.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
blue by 17.7
179
#4
62.80.0
59.059.1
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
Second
7431
#33
18.91.7
20.618.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 9.4
9670
#28
28.30.1
27.327.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
Third
8753
#32
16.51.7
18.216.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
red by 8.4
1744
#46
8.10.1
8.18.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed