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Red85
740322.7
584229.0
1040213.6
Blue148
190256.4
402415.9
18065.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57149010020085148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+65
Endgame+75
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +52
9Coral scored#26
34Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
58Total teleop110
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#10
2L1 · trough#7
15Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
12Foul points0
85Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#11
29.00.7
27.728.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
blue by 36.5
180
#1
65.51.6
59.361.0
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
Second
7403
#44
22.71.0
21.822.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 33.7
56.41.2
55.957.2
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
Third
13.61.0
12.613.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 2.3
4024
#13
15.91.6
14.215.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned