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Red101
80142.8
215219.1
155718.2
Blue153
159241.4
1032322.9
832431.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95122406080140160180101153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
18Coral scored#23
64Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
88Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
101Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#8
42.80.1
40.540.4
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
red by 1.4
1592
#10
41.43.0
38.541.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
Second
2152
#47
19.10.1
14.714.6
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
blue by 12.5
8324
#15
31.62.3
28.831.0
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Third
1557
#22
18.20.1
16.716.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 4.8
22.92.3
20.723.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned