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Red88
805715.4
74417.1
190256.4
Blue103
877515.8
2129.9
8645.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069805015020025030088103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
39Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
18Foul points10
88Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.41.5
57.255.7
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 11.3
86
#16
45.10.4
42.843.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
744
#29
17.11.5
17.716.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 12.8
21
#18
29.90.4
29.630.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
8057
#37
15.42.0
17.415.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
blue by 0.4
8775
#35
15.80.5
15.315.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned