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Red175
17962.8
18065.5
215219.1
Blue84
881728.3
584229.0
832431.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153875010020017584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+77Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +69
21Coral scored#11
75Coral points38
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
131Total teleop62
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
175Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
65.51.1
61.062.1
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 33.9
8324
#15
31.60.1
31.031.0
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Second
179
#4
62.80.9
59.160.0
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
red by 33.8
5842
#11
29.00.1
28.428.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
Third
2152
#47
19.11.1
14.615.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
blue by 9.2
8817
#25
28.30.1
27.627.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0