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Red129
7929.6
884145.4
152318.0
Blue164
8645.1
672235.1
80142.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88136406080100120160180200129164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+49
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points37
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +32
12Coral scored#22
42Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
76Total teleop108
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
129Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.41.1
41.142.3
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
red by 0.3
86
#16
45.11.1
43.244.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
79
#7
29.60.9
26.127.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
blue by 13.2
801
#8
42.81.3
40.441.7
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Third
1523
#27
18.01.1
13.814.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
blue by 17.0
6722
#21
35.11.3
32.734.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5