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Red230
190256.4
967028.3
23353.7
Blue140
2129.9
1032322.9
159241.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177125100150200250230140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+98Teleop
+88Endgame
+90Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +98
41Coral scored#17
148Coral points60
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
196Total teleop98
Reef
15L4#8
9L3#7
11L2#3
8L1 · trough#2
53Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +90
2Foul points0
230Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.9
55.756.6
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 15.0
1592
#10
41.40.1
41.541.4
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
Second
233
#2
53.70.9
53.053.9
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
red by 23.8
21
#18
29.90.1
30.029.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
9670
#28
28.31.1
27.428.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
red by 5.4
22.90.1
23.022.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7