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Red119
38653.1
155718.2
393241.4
Blue140
7929.6
884145.4
152318.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210050200119140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#17
70Coral points60
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
100Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
119Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#9
53.10.2
53.353.1
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
red by 7.7
8841
#14
45.41.1
43.744.7
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
Second
3932
#12
41.40.3
41.741.4
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
red by 11.8
79
#7
29.60.9
28.229.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
Third
1557
#22
18.20.3
18.418.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 0.1
1523
#27
18.01.1
16.317.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7