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Red115
7929.6
884145.4
152318.0
Blue123
8645.1
672235.1
80142.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9714250200115123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
82Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
115Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.40.6
44.745.4
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
red by 0.3
86
#16
45.10.0
45.745.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
79
#7
29.60.5
29.129.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
blue by 13.2
801
#8
42.80.1
43.543.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Third
1523
#27
18.00.6
17.418.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
blue by 17.0
6722
#21
35.10.1
35.835.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5