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Red137
190256.4
967028.3
23353.7
Blue105
8645.1
672235.1
80142.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169144100120160180200220240137105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave9
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points25
22Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
99Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
137Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.1
57.257.1
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 11.3
86
#16
45.10.6
45.745.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
233
#2
53.70.1
54.454.4
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
red by 11.0
801
#8
42.80.7
43.542.8
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Third
9670
#28
28.30.1
29.229.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
blue by 6.7
6722
#21
35.10.7
35.835.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5