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Red116
881728.3
584229.0
832431.6
Blue142
7929.6
884145.4
152318.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949560708090100110120130140116142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
99Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#8
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
116Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#15
31.60.6
31.031.6
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
blue by 13.8
8841
#14
45.41.4
42.343.7
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
Second
5842
#11
29.00.6
28.429.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
blue by 0.6
79
#7
29.61.1
27.128.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
Third
8817
#25
28.30.8
27.528.3
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
red by 10.2
1523
#27
18.01.4
14.916.3
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7