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Red118
2129.9
1032322.9
159241.4
Blue150
74417.1
5952.2
547247.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191396080100160180200118150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +24
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points75
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
83Total teleop107
Reef
5L4#10
7L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
118Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
blue by 10.8
59
#5
52.20.5
51.151.5
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
Second
21
#18
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
blue by 17.5
47.40.3
46.646.9
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
Third
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
red by 5.8
744
#29
17.10.3
16.216.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4