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Red146
406546.2
17973.9
215210.2
Blue109
7918.9
190244.7
5959.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501396080100120160180200220146109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points18
19Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +30
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
99Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
146Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
73.90.3
74.574.8
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
red by 14.5
59
#3
59.40.4
60.159.8
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
46.20.3
46.847.1
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End5.9
red by 1.5
44.70.4
45.445.1
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Third
2152
#17
10.20.3
10.811.1
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 8.7
79
#19
18.90.4
19.619.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6