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Red103
406546.2
17973.9
215210.2
Blue115
7918.9
190244.7
5959.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501376080100120160180200220103115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
80Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
103Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
73.90.9
74.873.9
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
red by 14.5
59
#3
59.40.4
59.859.4
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
46.20.9
47.146.2
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End5.9
red by 1.5
44.70.4
45.144.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Third
2152
#17
10.20.9
11.110.2
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 8.7
79
#19
18.90.4
19.318.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6