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Qual 112025 Space Coast Showdown
Red78
805710.5
99935.7
5959.4
Blue105
581612.0
17973.9
159233.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9816105020025078105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+31
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
10Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
52Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
78Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
59.41.1
66.8→65.7
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
blue by 14.5
179
#2
73.92.2
77.2→75.0
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
Second
8057
#21Sur
10.51.1
12.9→11.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End3.5
blue by 22.9
1592
#7
33.42.2
40.1→37.9
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Third
9993
#26
5.71.9
12.5→10.6
Auto-1.5
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5816
#24Sur
12.02.2
17.5→15.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed