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Red61
402410.4
74317.6
74430.7
Blue53
999518.1
152321.7
190244.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710301502006153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
48Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
61Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#9
30.70.5
30.631.2
Auto2.3
Teleop26.1
End2.2
blue by 14.0
44.72.8
55.953.1
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Second
4024
#13
10.40.5
10.911.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 11.3
1523
#12
21.72.8
24.922.2
Auto3.2
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Third
7431
#23
7.60.5
8.79.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 10.4
9995
#15
18.14.6
10.96.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed