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Red129
23347.1
2133.6
8639.2
Blue75
80132.8
99914.2
393243.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012105010020025012975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+62Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
95Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#4
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
129Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#16
47.10.3
52.352.5
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
red by 4.0
3932
#11
43.11.5
49.347.8
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
86
#4
39.20.3
40.640.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
red by 6.4
801
#22
32.81.5
42.240.7
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
21
#5
33.60.3
31.932.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End7.7
red by 29.4
9991
#20
4.22.5
5.63.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed