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Red59
805710.5
581612.0
2133.6
Blue132
832422.9
17973.9
152321.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52136010015020025059132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+71
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +68
4Coral scored#20
15Coral points73
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop87
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#7
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
59Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#5
33.60.3
32.231.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End7.7
blue by 40.4
179
#2
73.90.9
72.573.4
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
Second
5816
#24
12.00.3
14.614.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
blue by 10.9
8324
#14
22.90.9
21.021.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
8057
#21
10.50.3
13.613.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End3.5
blue by 11.2
1523
#12
21.70.9
22.223.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned