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Red43
215210.2
7918.9
999217.5
Blue91
393243.1
8639.2
402410.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4911601001502002504391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
26Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points10
43Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#19
18.90.9
24.823.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
blue by 24.2
3932
#11
43.11.4
45.844.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
9992
#10
17.51.5
16.815.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
blue by 21.6
86
#4
39.21.4
43.141.7
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Third
2152
#17
10.20.9
14.813.9
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
4024
#13
10.41.4
13.311.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed