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Red48
4314.4
23347.1
99914.2
Blue59
190244.7
74430.7
527610.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871090501502002503004859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
0Processor points0
4Net points16
4Algae points16
30Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
48Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#16
47.11.5
50.549.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
red by 2.5
44.72.3
50.648.3
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Second
431
#25
4.41.5
6.55.1
Auto0.9
Teleop3.8
End-0.2
blue by 26.3
744
#9
30.72.3
32.430.1
Auto2.3
Teleop26.1
End2.2
Third
9991
#20
4.22.4
6.74.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 6.6
10.82.3
10.98.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed