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Red80
80132.8
152321.7
999217.5
Blue55
99935.7
159233.4
7918.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98770501508055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
67Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
80Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#22
32.80.4
41.941.5
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
blue by 0.6
33.41.4
36.635.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Second
1523
#12
21.70.4
23.022.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.7
End4.8
red by 2.8
79
#19
18.91.4
23.922.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Third
9992
#10
17.50.7
15.314.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
red by 11.8
9993
#26
5.72.3
12.610.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed