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Red82
8639.2
527610.8
832422.9
Blue63
402410.4
190244.7
581612.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728002003004005006008263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +9
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
46Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
82Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#4
39.20.3
41.741.4
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
blue by 5.5
44.71.4
48.346.9
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
Second
8324
#14
22.90.3
21.921.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 10.9
5816
#24
12.01.4
14.312.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
Third
10.80.3
8.58.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1
red by 0.3
4024
#13
10.41.4
11.910.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed