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Red69
832422.9
215210.2
190244.7
Blue84
152321.7
5959.4
74317.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851130501001506984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
50Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
69Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.6
46.946.3
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
blue by 14.7
59
#3
59.41.0
62.161.1
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
8324
#14
22.90.6
21.621.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 1.2
1523
#12
21.71.0
22.721.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Third
2152
#17
10.20.6
9.69.0
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 2.6
7431
#23
7.61.0
8.47.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned