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Red90
99914.2
402410.4
17973.9
Blue64
80132.8
99935.7
38641.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117990501509064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+20Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
54Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points6
90Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
73.90.1
74.374.1
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
red by 32.6
386
#18
41.32.4
43.841.3
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End4.7
Second
4024
#13
10.40.1
10.510.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 22.4
801
#22
32.82.4
37.234.8
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
9991
#20
4.20.2
4.44.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 1.5
9993
#26
5.74.0
10.46.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed