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Red20
832422.9
402410.4
999518.1
Blue57
4314.4
393243.1
159233.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5014101002002057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
15Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
20Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#14
22.92.3
24.422.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 20.2
3932
#11
43.13.5
53.249.7
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
9995
#15
18.13.8
14.110.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
blue by 15.4
33.43.5
45.942.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Third
4024
#13
10.42.8
15.913.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
red by 6.0
431
#25
4.44.2
9.85.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed