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Red49
581612.0
80132.8
74317.6
Blue121
999217.5
5959.4
23347.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8218105010015020025030049121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+60
Endgame+74
Fouls+72
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +60
8Coral scored#19
28Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
34Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
2Foul points0
49Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#22
32.82.6
49.246.6
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
blue by 26.6
59
#3
59.41.9
73.171.2
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
Second
5816
#24
12.02.6
19.717.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
blue by 35.1
233
#16
47.11.9
56.154.2
Auto8.4
Teleop35.6
End3.2
Third
7431
#23
7.62.6
12.69.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 9.9
9992
#10
17.53.1
14.110.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned