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Red93
190244.7
7918.9
406546.2
Blue35
99914.2
215210.2
38641.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561080502002509335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#5
49Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
63Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
93Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.23.3
46.843.5
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End5.9
red by 4.9
386
#18
41.33.6
49.145.5
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End4.7
Second
44.73.3
60.757.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 34.5
2152
#17
10.23.6
20.416.8
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
79
#19
18.93.3
25.722.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
red by 14.7
9991
#20
4.26.1
14.18.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed